Investment objective & strategy
As of April 26, 2022 · prospectusObjective. The Probabilities Fund (the ?Fund?) seeks capital appreciation.
Strategy. The Fund utilizes a ??fund of funds?? structure to invest primarily in exchange-traded funds (?ETFs??), including inverse ETFs and leveraged ETFs. ETFs that seek to track the performance of broad-based U.S. equity indices, principally the Standard & Poor?s 500 (?S&P 500?) as well as mid-cap, small-cap and total market indexes are referred to as ?Index ETFs?. The Fund may also invest in ETFs that employ leverage (?Leveraged Index ETFs?) in an effort to deliver, on a daily basis, up to three times the performance of the S&P 500 or ETFs which seek returns which are the inverse of a U.S. equity index, (?Inverse Index ETFs?). In addition, the Fund may hold cash, money market instruments, or other cash equivalents (collectively, … The Fund utilizes a ??fund of funds?? structure to invest primarily in exchange-traded funds (?ETFs??), including inverse ETFs and leveraged ETFs. ETFs that seek to track the performance of broad-based U.S. equity indices, principally the Standard & Poor?s 500 (?S&P 500?) as well as mid-cap, small-cap and total market indexes are referred to as ?Index ETFs?. The Fund may also invest in ETFs that employ leverage (?Leveraged Index ETFs?) in an effort to deliver, on a daily basis, up to three times the performance of the S&P 500 or ETFs which seek returns which are the inverse of a U.S. equity index, (?Inverse Index ETFs?). In addition, the Fund may hold cash, money market instruments, or other cash equivalents (collectively, ?Cash Instruments?). The Fund?s adviser uses an active trading strategy based on a proprietary, rules-based methodology to determine the Fund?s allocation among Index ETFs, Leveraged Index ETFs, Inverse Index ETFs and Cash Instruments that seeks to take advantage of long-term trends in the market. The Fund typically invests in either ETFs or Cash Instruments depending on the adviser?s assessment of the market. When the adviser believes that conditions are favorable for investment in equities, the Fund will invest in ETFs. During periods that the adviser believes will offer the highest probability of capital appreciation, the Fund will invest primarily in Leveraged ETFs; otherwise, the Fund will invest primarily in Index ETFs. When the adviser believes that market conditions are unfavorable for equities, the Fund will invest in Inverse Index ETFs or Cash Instruments. The Fund?s investment program will emphasize active management of the Fund?s investments, with an emphasis on capturing profits on short-term movements. This strategy will result in the Fund taking frequent trading positions. Consequently, the Fund?s portfolio turnover and brokerage commission expenses may significantly exceed those of most investment funds of comparable size.
Top holdings
As of March 31, 2023 · N-PORT| Security | Ticker | Value | % of fund |
|---|---|---|---|
| OPTION | QQQ | $2.13M | 13.42% |
| Vanguard S&P 500 ETF | — | $2.13M | 13.39% |
| SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust | DIA | $2.13M | 13.37% |
| ProShares UltraPro QQQ ETF | TQQQ | $2.02M | 12.70% |
| Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3X Shares | SPXL | $2.01M | 12.62% |
| ProShares UltraPro Dow30 | UDOW | $2.00M | 12.56% |
Portfolio moves
Dec 31, 2022 → Mar 31, 2023How many positions this fund opened, exited, grew, trimmed, or left unchanged between its two most recent N-PORT snapshots — net changes between point-in-time reports, not a trade log.
Similar funds
Funds whose portfolios most overlap this one, by weight| Fund | Overlap | Net exp. |
|---|---|---|
| Probabilities VIT Fund | 84% | 2.53% |
| PSI Strategic Growth Fund | 33% | 2.38% |
| Simplify Nasdaq 100 PLUS Convexity ETF | 17% | 0.44% |
Footnotes
- Net assets and holdings count as of March 31, 2023, from the fund's N-PORT filing.
Machine-readable: JSON · Markdown. Programmatic access via the agent surface.